President Donald Trump’s approval rating has ticked down in recent weeks, but he still remains above water in most of the states he won last November, according to recent polls.
Newsweek has reached out to the White House for comment via email.
Why It Matters
Trump’s approval rating has significant implications for how Republicans may perform in off-year elections in 2025, such as the New Jersey or Virginia gubernatorial races, or the 2026 midterms.
Historically, the party of the president in power has suffered midterm losses, and a low approval rating for Trump would make a victory an easier feat for Democrats. That was the case in 2018, during the president’s first term, when Democrats picked up 41 seats in the House of Representatives. If that replicates next year, Democrats will have a key check on the White House administration, something they currently lack.
What to Know
Trump’s approval in states he won remains high, and is lower in states he easily lost to former Vice President Kamala Harris. But in key battlegrounds, he remains either tied or slightly underwater two months into his administration.
This map, based off Civiqs’ online daily approval tracking polls, shows how his approval is faring in each state as of March 27, 2025.
His support among the conservative base has held strong, but several recent polls suggest Americans are becoming increasingly concerned about Trump’s economy, a key issue that propelled him back into the Oval Office last year.
Grant Davis Reeher, a professor of political science at Syracuse University, told Newsweek he sees “consistency and flatness overall” in the polls, but that a slight downward trend makes “perfect sense” amid the firing of federal workers and tariff concerns.
“Each time this is done, new sets of citizens are exposed to things that might cause them to see or experience the administration in a less favorable light, whether that’s teachers, veterans getting support from the VA, a retiree on a long hold in a phone call with Social Security, someone with a 401(k) watching the markets, etc.,” he said.
Peoples’ minds probably aren’t going to change drastically because there’s “nothing really new” in terms of rhetoric from either major political party, he said, describing the trends in the Civiqs poll as “pretty familiar.”
Here is how his support stands in each state.
Alabama
Civiqs’ poll showed Trump leading nearly 20 points in solidly conservative Alabama, with 57 percent approving of him and 39 percent disapproving. The state backed Trump by about 30 points in November.
Alaska
In Alaska, a Republican-leaning state, Trump still remains above water, with 50 percent of Alaskans giving him positive marks, compared to 46 percent who disapprove of his job performance. It backed Trump by about 13 points in 2024.
Arizona
Arizona is a key battleground state Trump flipped back from Democrats last November by 5.5 points—his strongest showing among the core battlegrounds.
Civiqs’ poll shows that Arizona voters are split on Trump, with 48 percent each approving and disapproving of his job performance.
Arkansas
Solidly-red Arkansas is largely supporting Trump so far, with 61 percent of respondents approving of his job performance compared to 35 percent who disapprove of him, according to Civiqs. It backed Trump by 31 points last year.
California
California is one of the states Trump is least popular in. Only 31 percent of Californians approve of Trump, while 66 percent do not approve of his job performance so far, according to Civiqs. In 2024, it backed Harris, the state’s former senator and attorney general, by about 20 points over Trump.
Colorado
Colorado, a swing state for much of the 2000s and 2010s, has shifted toward Democrats lately, and Trump’s approval reflects that. Only 40 percent of respondents approve of Trump in the state, according to Civiqs, while 57 percent disapprove of him. Harris won Colorado by about 11 points.
Connecticut
In Connecticut, Trump has approval from 41 percent of residents, according to Civiqs. Meanwhile, 57 percent do not approve of him. Connecticut backed Harris by about 15 points.
Delaware
Civiqs’ poll showed that 57 percent of Delaware residents do not approve of Trump, compared to 40 percent who do approve of his performance. Harris won Delaware, the home of former President Joe Biden, by just under 15 points.
Florida
Trump remains above water in Florida, a former swing state where Republicans have gained ground in the past decade. Fifty-two percent of Floridians approve of Trump, while 45 percent do not, according to Civiqs.
That’s roughly in line with a Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy survey, which found that 52 percent of Florida voters approve of Trump and 44 percent disapprove, reported Florida Politics.
Trump won Florida by about 13 points in 2024.
Georgia
Just to the north in Georgia, Trump’s approval rating is reversed, according to Civiqs, which showed 44 percent of Georgians approving of Trump and 52 percent disapproving of him. Trump won Georgia back for Republicans by two points after it flipped to Democrats in 2020.
Hawaii
Hawaii is one of three states where Trump is least popular. Only 27 percent of Hawaii residents approve of him, compared to 70 percent who disapprove, according to Civiqs. Hawaii voted for Harris by 23 points last year.
Idaho
About 67 percent of Idaho residents approve of Trump, compared to 30 percent who disapprove of him two months into his term, according to Civiqs. That is in line with his 37-point margin in the state last November.
Illinois
Trump is 20 points underwater in Illinois, where 58 percent of residents disapprove of him and 38 percent approve, according to Civiqs.
A Global Strategy Group poll, conducted among 800 likely midterm voters between February 5 and February 9, 2025, showed his approval as being a bit higher closer toward the start of his term. It showed 49 percent of Illinois residents disapproving of Trump and 42 percent approving of him.
Harris won Illinois by approximately 11 points.
Indiana
According to Civiqs, 55 percent of Indiana residents approve of Trump and 41 percent disapprove of him. He won the state over Harris by about 19 points.
Iowa
Trump is slightly above water in Iowa, where 50 percent of residents approve of him compared to 47 percent who disapprove, according to Civiqs. Trump won the state by about 13 points last year.
Kansas
In Kansas, Trump received positive marks from 60 percent of voters, while 37 percent disapprove of him, according to Civiqs. He carried the state by about 16 points last year.
Kentucky
Kentucky residents approve of Trump by a 26-point margin, with 61 percent approving of his job performance and 35 percent disapproving, according to Civiqs. Kentucky backed him by more than 30 points last year.
Louisiana
In Louisiana 53 percent of respondents said they approved of Trump, compared to 44 percent who disapprove of his performance so far, according to Civiqs. He won Louisiana by about 22 points.
Maine
Mainers narrowly disapprove of Trump, with 53 percent disapproving of him and 45 percent approving of him, according to Civiqs. In November, Harris won Maine by about 7 points.
A Public Policy Polling survey, conducted among 569 Maine voters from March 20 to March 21, 2025, showed that 52 percent disapprove of Trump and 44 percent approve of his performance.
Maryland
In deep-blue Maryland, 70 percent of residents disapprove of Trump, and 27 percent approve of his job performance so far, according to Civiqs.
CBS reported earlier in March that a Gonzales poll, conducted among 804 registered voters between March 5 and March 9, 2025, showed Trump with a 62 percent approval rating, while 36 percent disapproved of him.
Harris carried Maryland by nearly 29 points.
Massachusetts
Trump has approval from about 35 percent of Bay State residents, while 62 percent disapprove of his job performance so far, according to Civiqs.
A University of Massachusetts Amherst/WCVB poll of 733 residents from February 14 to February 20, 2025, showed that 32 percent of residents in the state approve of Trump and 64 percent disapprove.
Harris won Massachusetts, which has for decades been one of the most liberal states in the country, by 25 points.
Michigan
In Michigan, a key battleground Trump narrowly won last year, Trump is narrowly underwater. Fifty-two percent of Michigan residents disapprove of his job performance, compared to 44 percent who approve of him, according to Civiqs.
Trump won Michigan by about 1.4 points last year.
A Mitchel-MIRS poll of 688 Michigan voters on March 13, 2025 showed that 47 percent of respondents approved of Trump’s performance and 50 percent disapproved of him.
Minnesota
Only 38 percent of Minnesota residents approve of Trump, according to Civiqs. Meanwhile, 58 percent disapprove of him. Trump lost Minnesota to Harris by about 4 percentage points.
Mississippi
Around 55 percent of residents in Mississippi approve of Trump, while 41 percent disapprove of him, according to Civiqs. The president won the state by about 23 points.
Missouri
Trump’s approval in Missouri stood at about 52 percent, while 44 percent disapprove of him, according to Civiqs.
The Mississippi Independent reported that a poll from Saint Louis University and YouGov showed that 56 percent of Missouri voters approve of Trump. The survey polled 900 likely Missouri voters from February 18 to March 2, 2025.
Trump won Missouri by about 18 points.
Montana
About 59 percent of Montana residents approve of the president, compared to 38 percent who disapprove of him, according to Civiqs. Montana voted for the Trump by a 20-point margin.
Nebraska
In Nebraska, about 57 percent of residents approve of Trump, while 40 percent disapprove of him, according to Civiqs. He won statewide by just over 20 points last November.
Nevada
Trump flipped Nevada last November, making him the first Republican to win the state since 2004. Two months into his presidency, his approval is similar to other battlegrounds, as 51 percent of Nevada residents disapprove of his performance while 45 percent approve.
Nevada backed Trump by about 3 points last year.
New Hampshire
In light-blue New Hampshire, only 36 percent of respondents told Civiqs they approve of Trump, while 60 percent said they disapprove of his performance so far.
A Saint Anslem College poll, conducted among 1,597 registered voters from March 5 to March 7, 2025, showed that 47 percent of Granite State residents approved of Trump, while 52 percent disapproved of his job performance.
Harris carried New Hampshire by just under 3 points.
New Jersey
New Jersey was closer than expected last year, with Harris only winning the traditionally Democratic state by about 6 points. Two months into Trump’s second term, about 61 percent of residents say they disapprove of Trump, while 36 percent gave him positive marks, according to Civiqs.
New Mexico
In New Mexico, which backed Harris by about 6 points, 57 percent of residents disapprove of Trump while 39 percent approve of him, according to Civiqs.
New York
New York shifted toward Trump last year, but 61 percent of residents still disapprove of him as of March 27. Meanwhile, 36 percent of New Yorkers said they approved of his performance, according to Civiqs.
Harris won New York by nearly 13 points.
North Carolina
In battleground North Carolina, Trump is narrowly underwater, with 49 percent of residents saying they disapprove of him and 48 percent approving, according to Civiqs. Trump won North Carolina by about 3 points.
An Elon University poll, reported by The News & Observer, showed 45 percent of North Carolinians disapproving of Trump compared to 42 percent who approve of him. It surveyed 800 adults between March 3 and March 11, 2025.
Ohio
Ohio backed Trump by about 11 points last year, and his approval remains positive in the state. Forty-nine percent of respondents told Civiqs they approve of him, while 47 percent disapprove.
Oklahoma
Sixty-one percent of Oklahoma residents approve of Trump, while 36 percent disapprove of his job performance, according to Civiqs. Trump carried Oklahoma by about 34 points.
Oregon
Trump has the approval of only about 36 percent of Oregon residents, according to Civiqs. Meanwhile, 61 percent disapproved of him. He lost Oregon last year by around 14 points.
Pennsylvania
About 47 percent of residents in Pennsylvania, a major battleground state, approve of Trump, while 50 percent disapprove of him, according to Civiqs. Trump won Pennsylvania by about two points.
Rhode Island
In Rhode Island, about 65 percent of residents disapproved of Trump, while 32 percent gave him positive marks so far, according to Civiqs. Harris won Rhode Island by about 14 points.
South Carolina
Trump remains narrowly popular in South Carolina, which he won by about 18 points. Civiqs’ poll reported that 50 percent of South Carolinians approved of Trump, while 46 percent disapproved of him.
A Winthrop University poll, conducted among 1,220 respondents from February 21 to March 5, 2025, showed that 45 percent of the state’s residents approved of Trump, while 40 percent disapprove of his job performance.
South Dakota
In South Dakota, about 60 percent of residents approve of Trump while 37 percent disapprove of his job performance, according to Civiqs. He won South Dakota by nearly 30 points.
Tennessee
Fifty-nine percent of Tennessee respondents told Civiqs they approve of Trump, while 38 percent said they disapprove of him. He won the state by about 30 points in the election.
Texas
Civiqs found that Texas residents are split on Trump—49 percent approved of his job performance, while 48 percent disapprove of him so far. He won Texas by about 13.5 points.
Utah
Trump remains popular in Utah, with 58 percent of respondents approving of him and 39 percent disapproving, according to Civiqs.
Vermont
Vermont is tied with Hawaii and Maryland for being the state where Trump is least popular.
Civiqs showed that 70 percent of Vermont residents disapprove of Trump, while 27 percent approve of him. Vermont backed Harris by more than 30 points.
Virginia
In Virginia, 59 percent of respondents told Civiqs they approved of Trump while 38 percent disapproved. Trump lost Virginia by nearly 6 points in 2024.
Washington
In Washington, 62 percent of respondents disapproved of Trump, while 35 percent approved of him, according to Civiqs. Harris won Washington by about 18 points.
West Virginia
West Virginia voters approve of Trump by a wide margin, according to Civiqs, which found that 61 percent of the state approves of him and 35 percent disapproves of him. It was one of his strongest states last year, giving him a 42 point victory over Harris.
Wisconsin
Fifty-one percent of residents in swing state Wisconsin disapprove of Trump, while 47 percent approve of him, according to Civiqs. He won Wisconsin by less than a point last year.
A Marquette University poll, conducted among 1,018 adults from January 27 to February 5, 2025, yielded similar results, showing that 48 percent of Wisconsin voters approve of Trump while 51 percent disapprove of him.
Wyoming
Wyoming is the state where Trump remains most popular, with 73 percent of its residents approving of him, compared to only 23 percent who disapprove of his performance so far. It backed Trump by nearly a 46-point margin.
What People Are Saying
Grant Davis Reeher of Syracuse University when asked about Trump’s approval in battleground states, said: “He’s not in panic or disaster territory in battleground states, but certainly he’d want to try to boost both those numbers and his overall numbers prior to the mid-terms. He’s still got some time, and I imagine the hope is that congressional action on a tax cut will repair some of that.”
CNN Data analyst Harry Enten on March 25: “All we talk about is how unpopular Donald Trump is, but in reality, he’s basically more popular than he was at any point in term number one, and more popular than he was when he won [the] election back in November 2024.”
What Happens Next
Trump’s approval will continue to be a major question over the coming months as an indicator of the popularity of both his policies and the Republican Party headed into key elections.
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